Interview with the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations: The Geopolitics of Fast Fashion–U.S.-China & the World

About the interview: Fashion is possible because of international trade. Each year, the global fashion industry generates more than $4 trillion USD and provides families with affordable clothing options. However, as fast fashion continues to grow, so does awareness of pressing issues such as labor standards and environmental sustainability. How are the United States and China involved in the global fashion industry? How can they collaborate on the issues facing the global fast fashion industry, from production to consumption?

Sheng Lu joins the National Committee to discuss how fast fashion is a global phenomenon and how the United States and China can address common areas of concern.

Learn more about the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations (NCUSCR)

New Study: Exploring the US as a Sourcing Base for Clothing Using Recycled Cotton

The full article is published in Just-Style and below is the summary:

Market Size

Reflecting fashion companies’ interest in carrying more sustainable apparel products to meet consumers’ demand, there has been a notable increase in clothing using recycled cotton in the U.S. retail market since 2022. For example, based on information collected from US apparel retailers’ websites, only about 100 Stock Keeping Units (SKUs) of “Made in the USA” clothing explicitly indicated that they contained recycled cotton in 2022 and 2023, respectively. However, in the first nine months of 2024, this number had already doubled to around 200.

Despite the impressive growth, clothing containing recycled cotton remains a “niche” in the U.S. retail market. As of 2024, the total SKUs of “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton accounted for only about 0.1% of those made with regular virgin cotton.

Meanwhile, measured by SKU count, 70% of “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton was sold in the mass and value segments in the U.S. retail market from 2022 to 2024.  In comparison, over the same period, “Made in the USA” clothing made with regular cotton catered to a more diverse consumer base, with a relatively balanced distribution across the mass and value segment (57%) and the luxury and premium segment (43%).

Product Features

There appears to be a notable distinction between the product categories of “Made in the USA” clothing using recycled cotton and those made with regular cotton. Specifically, from 2022 to 2024, by SKU count, “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton mainly focused on basics such as T-shirts (35.6%), jeans (20.1%), other bottoms (20.7%) and other tops (18.4%). Particularly, jeans appear more likely to contain recycled cotton than any other apparel category.

Using recycled cotton also appears to affect clothing’s design patterns. For example, from 2022 to 2024, nearly 85% of “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton chose plain design patterns compared to only 65% of those exclusively using regular cotton. These results echo findings from previous studies, suggesting that the shorter fiber length and lower quality of recycled cotton may limit the use of more intricate and complex design details.

Fiber Content

Reflecting the significant limitations of the quality and properties of the fiber, clothing labeled as using “100% recycled cotton” was rarely available in the U.S. retail market from 2022 to 2024, regardless of where the item was made. In most cases, recycled cotton accounted for no more than 30% of the total fiber content in a garment, with typical labels read like “49% cotton, 21% recycled cotton, 17% recycled polyester” (jeans), “Made from 70% cotton and 30% recycled cotton” (T-shirt), and “Made from 70% cotton, 29% recycled cotton, and 1% elastane” (skirt).

Results show that over 95% of “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton was blended with regular virgin cotton, and 92% of imported clothing did the same. According to textile scientists, this blend helps overcome the physical limitations of recycled cotton and enhances the fabric’s durability and softness. Approximately 14% of “Made in the USA clothing” containing recycled cotton was blended with polyester. This blend was commonly used for jeans and T-shirts to improve durability and flexibility and may also reduce production costs. However, compared with “Made in the USA” clothing made from regular cotton, it was uncommon to see recycled cotton blended with specific fiber types such as nylon, spandex, rayon, and linen. This result again revealed the physical limitations of recycled cotton and explained the narrow range of apparel products currently suited for its use.

Sustainability Claims

In practice, the sustainability claims of “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton in the U.S. retail market appear to be a “mixed bag.” On the one hand, as anticipated, “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton seems to be more likely to highlight its sustainability attributes than those using regular cotton only. From 2022 to 2024, by SKU count, more than 23.1% of “Made in the USA” items containing recycled cotton mentioned the word “sustainable” in the product description or label, and another 16.2% mentioned “eco-friendly.” In comparison, less than 2% of “Made in the USA” clothing made from regular cotton included these two terms.  Similarly, a higher percentage of “Made in the USA” clothing using recycled cotton also featured other sustainability-related terms such as “impacts,” “waste,” and “certified,” compared to those made from regular cotton.

On the other hand, however, the sustainability claims of “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton are not without concerns. For example, in many cases, the product descriptions or labels provide no detailed and verifiable information about the actual “sustainability benefits” of producing and consuming clothing made from recycled cotton aside from vaguely saying the product was “sustainable,” “eco-friendly,” or “certified.”

To complicate the issue further, as clothing made from regular cotton increasingly emphasizes its sustainability benefits as a natural fiber, it somehow diminishes the exclusivity of recycled cotton as a sustainable option. For example, there is no clear evidence indicating that consumers generally perceive clothing using “recycled cotton” as more or less sustainable than those using “organic cotton” or cotton certified by reputable programs such as the “Better Cotton Initiative, BCI” and the “U.S. Cotton Trust Protocol.” In other words, “recycled cotton” faces intense competition as the preferred sustainable fiber among many choices available to fashion companies, including regular cotton. 

Pricing Practices

Results show that “Made in the USA” clothing containing recycled cotton is not always “cheap” for U.S. consumers. For instance, for those targeting the mass market segment, between 2022 and 2024, adding recycled cotton increased the selling price of “Made in the USA” clothing by more than 10% compared to items made with virgin cotton, with jeans being the only exception (i.e., 12% lower).

Price data also show that “Made in the USA” recycled cotton items generally have higher price tags than comparable non-U.S.-made items across both mass and premium markets, particularly in popular categories like T-shirts and bottoms. This trend suggests that higher U.S. domestic production costs, particularly the higher wage level than Asian countries, could contribute to these elevated prices.

Reflections

As the findings highlighted, while visibility is increasing, promoting recycled cotton in clothing still encounters significant challenges. For instance, technical advancements in the quality of recycled cotton fiber are critical to enhancing its competitiveness among other “preferred sustainable fibers,” raising its perceived market value and enabling its use across a broader range of clothing categories beyond T-shirts and jeans.

Notably, due to slow progress in improving the physical properties of recycled cotton, some have seemingly “given up” on using it for clothing and suggest focusing more on repurposing recycled cotton for other categories, such as non-wovens, carpets, packaging, and home textiles. However, as sustainability legislation, such as the Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) law, increasingly mandates fashion companies to recycle textile waste, not promoting recycled cotton could lead to greater reliance on recycled polyester or other man-made fibers in clothing, which may not serve the long-term business interests of the cotton industry.

by Katherine Yasik (Fashion Design and Product Innovation major & Sustainable apparel minor, Fashion and Apparel Studies, University of Delaware) and Sheng Lu

New Study: How Has the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) Affected U.S. Apparel Import?

Implemented in June 2022, the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) prohibits U.S. companies from importing apparel wholly or in part produced in China’s Xinjiang region. UFLPA could significantly alter U.S. apparel import patterns as fashion companies have begun or anticipate adjusting their sourcing base to comply with the law and mitigate the forced labor risks in the supply chain.

This study quantitatively evaluated the impacts of the UFLPA on U.S. apparel imports nearly two years after the law’s implementation. Unlike existing studies primarily focusing on UFLPA’s political or legal aspects, this study’s findings would enhance our understanding of the economic and trade implications of the new law.

A panel regression model was adopted to evaluate the quantitative impact of UFLPA on U.S. apparel imports based on data collected from OTEXA (2024) and USITC (2024), the most authentic government data source. Four countries in three categories were included in the study: 1) China; 2) Vietnam and Bangladesh representing top Asian apparel exporting countries other than China; 3) member countries of the Central America Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR) representing near-shoring sourcing destinations. The annual trade activities of these four countries from 2010 to 2023 (the latest available) were used for the analysis.

The panel regression model suggests several interesting findings*:

Firstly, the results showed that holding other factors constant, U.S. cotton apparel imports from China decreased significantly by approximately 350 million square meter equivalent (SME) annually following UFLPA’s implementation. In other words, the result confirmed that UFLPA had negatively affected U.S. cotton apparel imports from China. This result is far from surprising as Xinjiang accounted for nearly 90% of China’s cotton production, causing significant forced labor risks associated with importing cotton apparel from China.

Secondly, holding other factors constant, U.S. cotton apparel imports from Vietnam and Bangladesh and CAFTA-DR also respectively decreased by approximately 81 million SME, 51 million SME, and 20 million SME annually after UFLPA’s implementation in 2022. The results revealed U.S. fashion companies’ concerns about UFLPA compliance risks associated with sourcing from countries other than China, particularly Asia, due to their heavy reliance on cotton yarns and fabrics from China through a highly integrated regional supply chain.

Thirdly, the results revealed a more significant positive relationship between U.S. cotton exports to China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and CAFTA-DR countries and U.S. cotton apparel imports from these countries after UFLPA’s implementation. Related, trade data also showed a declining ratio of U.S. cotton apparel imports from China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and CAFTA-DR countries relative to these countries’ cotton imports from the U.S. This pattern implies a closer alignment in the trade flow of raw cotton from the U.S. to these countries and the return of finished cotton apparel to the U.S. It could be the case that leading apparel exporting countries increasingly used US cotton after UFLPA to mitigate the forced labor risks.

Additionally, there was a negative relationship between U.S. cotton apparel imports from China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and CAFTA-DR members and U.S. MMF apparel imports from these countries. In other words, cotton apparel and MMF apparel appear to compete within the total U.S. apparel import market. However, UFLPA’s implementation has not significantly impacted the relationship. Nonetheless, MMF apparel has accounted for a growing share of China’s total apparel exports to the United States after UFLPA’s implementation (down from 46% in 2010 to only 19% in 2023).

The study’s findings revealed a broad trade impact of UFLPA’s implementation that goes far beyond China. Notably, cotton apparel exporters from other Asian countries and those in the Western Hemisphere also appeared to be negatively affected by the new law. Also, unlike theoretical prediction, no clear evidence shows that UFLPA has significantly expanded the near-shoring of U.S. cotton apparel imports from the Western Hemisphere, such as CAFTA-DR members.

Meanwhile, the results call for further investigation of the net impact of UFLPA on U.S. cotton exports. While UFLPA may help U.S. cotton gain more shares in the global marketplace, the reduced U.S. import demand for cotton apparel due to forced labor risk concerns may also unexpectedly “shrink the pie size.”

*:The fixed effects (FE) model was selected for the study based on the likelihood ratio test results (p<.01). The result of the F-test suggests the FE model is statistically significant at the 99% confidence level (p<.01). The value of R2 exceeds 0.90, indicating an overall high goodness-of-fit of the panel regression. All the independent variables were statistically significant at the 99% confidence level (p<.01).

By Sheng Lu and Emilie Delaye

Note: The study will be presented at the 2024 International Textile and Apparel Association (ITAA) annual conference in November 2024.

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